Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Missouri's White-Black Graduation Gap Narrows Below Eight Points for the First Time

The gap between white and Black graduation rates in Missouri fell to 7.8 percentage points in 2025, driven by Black student gains that outpaced white students by more than 2 to 1.

For the first time in the available data, the gap between white and Black four-year graduation rates in Missouri fell below eight percentage points. In 2025, white students graduated at 94.5 percent and Black students at 86.7 percent, a gap of 7.8 points, down from 9.7 points in 2019.

The narrowing was driven almost entirely by Black student improvement. Black students gained 3.4 percentage points over the six-year period, more than double the 1.5 points gained by white students. The Black graduation rate of 86.7 percent is the highest in the data series.

Missouri graduation rate gaps, 2019-2025

A frozen Hispanic gap

While the white-Black gap closed, the white-Hispanic gap remained frozen. In 2019, the gap was 6.5 percentage points. In 2025, it was 6.5 percentage points. White students improved by 1.5 points and Hispanic students improved by 1.5 points, moving in perfect lockstep for six straight years.

The Hispanic rate has stayed in a narrow band between 86.4 and 87.9 percent across the entire data window. At the district level, the picture is worse: Hispanic students in St. Louis City graduate at just 51.2 percent, a collapse of 14.6 points from 2019.

The contrast is stark. Missouri made real progress on the white-Black gap while making zero progress on the white-Hispanic gap. The mechanism that drove Black student improvement, concentrated largely in Kansas City 33 and a handful of other urban districts, did not reach Hispanic students to the same degree.

All groups at their highest

Every major racial group except Asian students posted its highest graduation rate in the data series in 2025. Asian students' 2024 rate of 96.9 percent was higher than their 2025 rate of 94.8 percent:

  • Asian: 94.8 percent
  • White: 94.5 percent
  • Multiracial: 93.1 percent
  • Hispanic: 87.9 percent
  • Black: 86.7 percent

Asian and white students are essentially at parity, separated by 0.3 points. The multiracial gap with white students narrowed sharply from 3.6 points to 1.4 points over the period.

Missouri graduation rate by race/ethnicity, 2019-2025

2019 versus 2025

The gains varied in magnitude. Black students' 3.4-point improvement was the largest among major groups. Multiracial students gained 3.7 points. Hispanic students gained 1.5 points. White students gained 1.5 points. Asian students gained 1.4 points.

The result is a tighter distribution. The spread between the highest and lowest major groups (Asian at 94.8 percent, Black at 86.7 percent) is 8.1 points, down from 10.1 points in 2019.

Missouri graduation rate by race, 2019 vs 2025

What narrowing means and does not mean

A 7.8-point gap is still a gap. It means that in a state where 94.5 percent of white students graduate on time, 13.3 percent of Black students do not. The raw numbers matter: with about 10,300 Black students in each cohort, that gap translates to roughly 810 additional Black students per year who do not finish on time compared with white completion rates.

But the direction is unmistakable. Missouri is making measurable progress on its most persistent educational inequality, driven by real gains at the district level, particularly in Kansas City 33 where Black students gained 21.6 points. The frozen Hispanic gap, though, is a reminder that progress for one group does not automatically reach another. Whatever is working for Black students in KC has not yet reached Hispanic students in St. Louis.

Data source

Analysis based on graduation data from the Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education.

Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.

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